نشریه محیط زیست طبیعی

ارتباط بین انتشار CO2، هزینه‌های مراقبت‌های بهداشتی و شاخص توسعة انسانی در کشورهای عضو شانگهای

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشکدة مدیریت و اقتصاد، دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان، زاهدان، ایران.

10.22059/jne.2024.362627.2580

چکیده

در دوره‌های رشد اقتصادی بالا، انتشار دی‌اکسید کربن (CO2) به‌شدت افزایش می­ یابد و دولت‌ها به ناچار هزینه‌های مراقبت‌های بهداشتی را افزایش می‌دهند. هدف پژوهش حاضر بررسی ارتباط دوسویه بین هزینه‌های مراقبت‌های بهداشتی، انتشار دی‌اکسید کربن (CO2) و شاخص توسعة انسانی (HDI) در کشور عضو سازمان همکاری شانگهای برای دورة زمانی 2020-2000، با استفاده از مدل خودرگرسیون برداری تابلویی است. نتایج نشان داد که بیشترین سهم ناشی از تکانة هزینه­ های مراقبت‌های بهداشتی مربوط به خودش و بیشترین سهم ناشی از تکانه­ های انتشار CO2 و شاخص توسعة انسانی مربوط به هزینه ­های تحقیق و توسعه است. نتایج روابط علی نشان داد که رابطة علی یک‌طرفه بین هزینه‌های مراقبت‌های بهداشتی و انتشار CO2 وجود دارد و بیانگر آن است که به‌طور قابل توجهی انتشار  CO2هزینه‌های مراقبت‌های بهداشتی را برای کشورهای سازمان همکاری شانگهای افزایش می‌دهد. علاوه بر این، هزینه‌های مراقبت‌های بهداشتی و HDI نیز یک رابطة دو طرفة مثبت را نشان می‌دهند، زیرا این دو متغیر یکدیگر را تقویت می‌کنند. رابطة علیت دو طرفه بین انتشار CO2 و HDI وجود دارد که نشانگر انتشار بالای  CO2است که به‌طور قابل ‌توجهی توسعة انسانی کشورهای سازمان همکاری شانگهای را تحت تأثیر قرار می‌دهد. در این راستا پیشنهاد می­ شود که برای کاهش انتشار دی‌اکسید کربن اقداماتی نظیر سیاست‌های توسعة پایدار، توسعة فناوری‌های پاک، آموزش و ارتقاء آگاهی مردم، توسعة سرمایه انسانی و همکاری­ های بین‌المللی در کشورهای عضو سازمان همکاری شانگهای بایستی اتخاذ نمود. 

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Relationship between CO2 emissions, health care costs and human development index in Shanghai member countries

نویسندگان [English]

  • Amir Dadrasmoghadam
  • Reza Dehvari
  • Mehdi Safdari

Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Management and Economics, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Zahedan, Iran.

چکیده [English]

During periods of high economic growth, carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions increase sharply and governments inevitably increase health care costs. The aim of the present study is to investigate the bidirectional relationship between health care costs, carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, and human development index (HDI) in a member country of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization for the period 2000-2020, using a panel vector autoregression model. The results showed that the largest share is due to the impulse of health care costs related to itself, and the largest share is due to the impulse of CO2 emissions and human development index related to research and development costs. The results of the causal relationships showed that there is a one-way causal relationship between health care costs and CO2 emissions, indicating that CO2 emissions significantly increase health care costs for SCO countries. In addition, health care expenditures and HDI also show a positive two-way relationship, as these two variables reinforce each other. There is a two-way causal relationship between CO2 emissions and HDI, which indicates that high CO2 emissions significantly affect the human development of Shanghai Cooperation Organization countries. In this regard, it is suggested that measures such as adopting sustainable development policies, developing clean technologies, educating and improving people's awareness, developing human capital and international cooperation in the member countries of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization should be adopted to reduce carbon dioxide emissions.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • CO2 emissions
  • Health costs
  • Human development index
  • Panel vector autoregression
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نشریه محیط زیست طبیعی
دوره 77، شماره 1
اردیبهشت 1403
صفحه 147-158