نشریه محیط زیست طبیعی

اثرات همجواری در روابط متقابل توسعة مالی، مصرف انرژی و تولید سبز در اتحادیة منطقه‌ای

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران.

2 استادیار گروه اقتصادکشاورزی دانشگاه تربیت مدرس

10.22059/jne.2026.396675.2813

چکیده

در در دهه‌های اخیر، مصرف انرژی نقش مهمی در رشد اقتصادی و ارتقای کیفیت زندگی ایفا کرده است، اما وابستگی به سوخت‌های فسیلی پیامدهای ‌محیط‌زیستی جدی به‌دنبال داشته است. در این میان، توسعة مالی می‌تواند از دو منظر بر محیط‌زیست اثر بگذارد: از یک‌سو با افزایش مصرف انرژی و آلودگی، و از سوی دیگر با تسهیل سرمایه‌گذاری در فناوری‌های پاک. این مطالعه با هدف بررسی روابط متقابل توسعة مالی، مصرف انرژی و تولید سبز و تحلیل اثرات همجواری میان کشورهای عضو سازمان همکاری اقتصادی (ECO) انجام شده است. برای تحلیل داده‌ها از مدل‌های اقتصادسنجی فضایی پانل طی دورة 2023–2005 استفاده شد. نتایج مدل تصادفی نشان داد که توسعة مالی اثر منفی معنی‌داری بر تولید ناخالص داخلی سبز (GGDP) دارد، در حالی‌که باز بودن تجاری، مخارج دولت، موجودی سرمایه و نیروی کار اثرات مثبت و معنی‌داری بر تولید سبز دارند. همچنین، اثرات فضایی نشان داد که بهبود تولید سبز در یک کشور می‌تواند از طریق تعاملات منطقه‌ای به سایر کشورها منتقل شود. بر این اساس، پیشنهاد می‌شود کشورهای عضو اکو با تقویت همکاری‌های منطقه‌ای، به‌کارگیری فناوری‌های پاک، اصلاح سیاست‌های تجاری و ارتقاء مهارت نیروی کار، مسیر دستیابی به اقتصاد سبز و توسعة پایدار را هموار سازند.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Spillover effects of neighboring regions on the interrelationships of financial development, energy consumption, and green GDP within a regional union

نویسندگان [English]

  • Mahnaz Kalantaripor 1
  • Hamed Najafi Alamdarlo 2
  • Fatemeh Ostovar Mahmodabadi 1

1 Department of Agricultural Economics, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran.

2 Department of Agricultural Economics, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran.

چکیده [English]

This study explores the spatial spillover effects of energy consumption and financial development on Green Gross Domestic Product (GGDP) in Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO) member countries during the period 2005–2023. Employing a Spatial Autoregressive (SAR) model, the research evaluates the dynamic interrelations among energy consumption, financial development, trade openness, government expenditure, labor force, and capital inventory, incorporating spatial dependencies arising from geographical and economic proximity among ECO nations. Key findings reveal that fossil fuel consumption significantly decreases GGDP, highlighting the environmental cost of reliance on nonrenewable energy. Similarly, financial development negatively impacts GGDP by promoting industrial activities without adequate environmental safeguards. Conversely, trade openness, government expenditure, labor force participation, and capital inventory positively influence GGDP, underscoring their roles in fostering sustainable economic growth. A notable discovery is the positive spatial lag effect, indicating that the GGDP of one country benefits from improvements in neighboring countries through clean technology transfer, green goods trade, and shared environmental policies. These findings emphasize the importance of regional collaboration for advancing sustainable development. The study recommends substantial investment in renewable energy infrastructure, policy reforms to enhance trade openness, and regional cooperation in environmental and energy policies to mitigate fossil fuel dependence and improve environmental quality. The study's conclusions provide actionable insights for ECO policymakers, advocating for a holistic approach to green growth that integrates economic, social, and environmental strategies. Future research should broaden the geographical scope and employ advanced methodologies to capture nonlinear and complex interdependencies, ensuring more robust and generalized findings.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Economic cooperation Organization (ECO)
  • Energy consumption
  • Financial development
  • Green GDP
  • Renewable energy infrastructure
  • Spatial spillover effects
  • Sustainable development
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نشریه محیط زیست طبیعی
دوره 78، شماره 4
دی 1404
صفحه 689-703