Applying the Regression Models to Assess the Influences of Climate Factors on Forest Fires (Case Study: Izeh)

Aleemahmoodi Sarab, Sajad; Feghhi, Jahangir; Jabbarian Amiri, Bahman; Danehkar, Afshin; Attarod, Pedram

doi:10.22059/jne.2013.35851

Applying the Regression Models to Assess the Influences of Climate Factors on Forest Fires (Case Study: Izeh)

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

Sajad Aleemahmoodi Sarab ¹

Jahangir Feghhi ²

Bahman Jabbarian Amiri ³

Afshin Danehkar ⁴

Pedram Attarod ⁵

¹ M.Sc. Student, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Tehran, I. R. Iran

² Associate Professor, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Tehran, I. R. Iran

³ Assistant Professor,, Faculty of Agricultural & Natural Resources, University of Tehran P.O.Box:4111 Karaj, Iran

⁴ Associate Professor, Faculty of Agricultural & Natural Resources, University of Tehran P.O.Box:4111 Karaj, Iran

⁵ Assistant Professor, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Tehran, I. R. Iran.

10.22059/jne.2013.35851

Abstract

Fire destroys major area of forests and rangelands in the world. Izhe, located in Khozestan province, is one of these area that was changed by this natural phenomena. The aim of this study is to determine the most important climatic factors on forest fire and its development by regression model analysis. Numbers and area of the forest fire as well as weather data for a three years period (2009-2011) were applied for this value. The results of Spearman correlation test showed that minimum and maximum temperature had a positive correlation with the burn area of the forests. The minimum and Mean of relative moisture suggested a negative correlation with forest fires. Moreover, the maximum and medium of temperature had positive correlation with forest fires.

Keywords

fire forest and rangeland

Izhe city

Khozestan

Regression models

Zagros