بررسی نقش ICT و رانت منابع طبیعی بر توسعة انسانی و کیفیت محیط‌زیست: شواهدی از کشورهای N11 و رویکرد SUR

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

گروه اقتصاد، دانشکدة مدیریت و اقتصاد، دانشگاه لرستان، خرم‌آباد، ایران.

10.22059/jne.2025.392316.2788

چکیده

فرضیة نفرین منابع، ارتباط پیچیده بین وفور منابع طبیعی و توسعة اقتصادی را به چالش می‌کشد. این پژوهش با هدف بررسی روابط همزمان بین توسعة انسانی و ردپای اکولوژیک و عوامل مؤثر بر آنها، شامل فناوری اطلاعات و ارتباطات، رانت منابع طبیعی، ارزش افزودة صنعت، شهرنشینی، جهانی‌شدن، توسعة مالی و به‌ویژه اثر تعاملی ICT و رانت منابع، در کشورهای N-11 (با تأکید بر ایران) طی دورة 2021-2007 انجام شده است. بدین‌منظور از روش رگرسیون سیستم معادلات همزمان به‌ظاهر نامرتبط استفاده شد. نتایج نشان می‌دهد ICT نقش دوگانه‌ای دارد: ضمن افزایش معنی‌دار توسعة انسانی با ضریب 0/30، باعث تشدید ردپای اکولوژیک با ضریب 0/11 نیز می‌شود که گویای تعارض بین پیشرفت فناوری و پایداری ‌محیط‌زیستی است. رانت منابع طبیعی، با کاهش معنی‌دار توسعة انسانی با ضریب 0/11- و افزایش چشمگیر ردپای اکولوژیک با ضریب 0/10، فرضیة نفرین منابع را تأیید می‌کند. ارزش افزودة صنعت و شهرنشینی هر دو توسعة انسانی را تقویت (ضرایب 0/31 و 0/33) اما ردپای اکولوژیک را نیز افزایش می‌دهند (ضرایب 0/05 و 0/41). توسعة مالی با وجود افزایش قابل توجه توسعة انسانی با ضریب 0/18 فشار زیادی بر محیط‌زیست با ضریب 0/61 وارد می‌کند، که لزوم سیاست‌های مالی سبز را برجسته می‌سازد. اثر تعاملی ICT و رانت منابع، با افزایش توسعة انسانی با ضریب 60/0 و کاهش ردپای اکولوژیک با ضریب 60/0- نشان می‌دهد که توسعة ICT می‌تواند به شکستن نفرین منابع در کشورهای N-11 کمک کند. این یافته‌ها برای سیاست‌گذاران کشورهای مورد مطالعه در جهت ایجاد تعادل بین توسعة انسانی و پایداری ‌محیط‌زیستی اهمیت دارد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Investigating the role of ICT and natural resource rent in human development and environmental quality: evidence from N11 countries and the SUR approach

نویسندگان [English]

  • Ali Hasanvand
  • Bahar Salarvand

Department of Economics, Faculty of Management and Economics, Lorestan University, Khorramabad, Iran.

چکیده [English]

The resource curse hypothesis challenges the complex relationship between natural resource abundance and economic development. This study aims to investigate the simultaneous relationships between human development and ecological footprint, along with their determinants—including information and communication technology (ICT), natural resource rent, industrial value-added, urbanization, globalization, financial development, and particularly the interactive effect of ICT and resource rent—in N-11 countries (with a focus on Iran) during 2007–2021. To this end, the Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) equations method was employed. The results reveal that ICT plays a dual role: while significantly enhancing human development with a coefficient of 0.30, it exacerbates the ecological footprint with a coefficient of 0.11, highlighting the conflict between technological progress and environmental sustainability. Natural resource rent significantly reduces human development (coefficient: -0.11) and substantially increases the ecological footprint (coefficient: 0.10), confirming the resource curse hypothesis. Industrial value-added and urbanization both strengthen human development (coefficients: 0.31 and 0.33) but also elevate the ecological footprint (coefficients: 0.05 and 0.41). Financial development, despite significantly boosting human development (coefficient: 0.18), exerts substantial environmental pressure (coefficient: 0.61), underscoring the necessity for green financial policies. The interactive effect of ICT and resource rent, which increases human development (coefficient: 0.06) and reduces the ecological footprint (coefficient: -0.06), suggests that ICT advancement can help mitigate the resource curse in N-11 countries. These findings hold critical implications for policymakers in the studied countries to strike a balance between human development and environmental sustainability.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Human development
  • Ecological footprint
  • Information and Communication technology (ICT)
  • Resource curse
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